Consistency of the posterior distribution and MLE for piecewise linear regression

نویسندگان

  • Tristan Launay
  • Anne Philippe
  • Sophie Lamarche
  • Jean Leray
چکیده

We prove the weak consistency of the posterior distribution and that of the Bayes estimator for a two-phase piecewise linear regression mdoel where the break-point is unknown. The non-differentiability of the likelihood of the model with regard to the break-point parameter induces technical difficulties that we overcome by creating a regularised version of the problem at hand. We first recover the strong consistency of the quantities of interest for the regularised version, using results about the MLE, and we then prove that the regularised version and the original version of the problem share the same asymptotic properties. keywords : consistency ; asymptotic distribution ; posterior distribution ; MLE ; piecewise regression.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Improving the Performance of Bayesian Estimation Methods in Estimations of Shift Point and Comparison with MLE Approach

A Bayesian analysis is used to detect a change-point in a sequence of independent random variables from exponential distributions. In This paper, we try to estimate change point which occurs in any sequence of independent exponential observations. The Bayes estimators are derived for change point, the rate of exponential distribution before shift and the rate of exponential distribution after s...

متن کامل

Estimating the Time of a Step Change in Gamma Regression Profiles Using MLE Approach

Sometimes the quality of a process or product is described by a functional relationship between a response variable and one or more explanatory variables referred to as profile. In most researches in this area the response variable is assumed to be normally distributed; however, occasionally in certain applications, the normality assumption is violated. In these cases the Generalized Linear Mod...

متن کامل

Consistency and Limiting Distribution of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator of a Generalized Threshold Model

The open-loop Threshold Model, proposed by Tong [30], is a piecewise-linear stochastic regression model useful for modeling conditionally normal response time-series data. However, in many applications, the response variable is conditionally non-normal, e.g. Poisson or binomially distributed. We generalize the open-loop Threshold Model by introducing the Generalized Threshold Model (GTM). Speci...

متن کامل

Bayesian Analysis of Survival Data with Spatial Correlation

Often in practice the data on the mortality of a living unit correlation is due to the location of the observations in the study‎. ‎One of the most important issues in the analysis of survival data with spatial dependence‎, ‎is estimation of the parameters and prediction of the unknown values in known sites based on observations vector‎. ‎In this paper to analyze this type of survival‎, ‎Cox...

متن کامل

Asymptotic Efficiencies of the MLE Based on Bivariate Record Values from Bivariate Normal Distribution

Abstract. Maximum likelihood (ML) estimation based on bivariate record data is considered as the general inference problem. Assume that the process of observing k records is repeated m times, independently. The asymptotic properties including consistency and asymptotic normality of the Maximum Likelihood (ML) estimates of parameters of the underlying distribution is then established, when m is ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2012